E4DRR

  • 🧱 Risk knowledge is an essential component of effective disaster risk management. The available impact data from previous disasters serve as invaluable tools for disaster preparedness and decisionmaking support. The project, titled “Hazard Modeling, Impact Estimation, Climate Storylines for Drought and Flood Disasters in Eastern Africa” (in short form E4DRR), is a two-year project funded by the Complex Risk Analytics Fund (CRAF’d) and implemented by ICPAC in collaboration with NORCAP. 🧱

Aim and Objectives

To enhance the East Africa Hazard Watch Portal as a decision-making and actionable information tool for Disaster Risk Management (DRM) through impact-based forecasting based on a chain of auditable evidence synthesised from event-based climate Storylines 🌍

Enhanced Risk knowledge

Enhanced Risk Knowledge and Awareness Through the Creation of Event-Based Climate Storylines

Operationalizing Impact Based Forecasting

Exploration of storylines creation processes and applications in Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) Impact Based Forecasting (IBF)

Capacity Development

On the use of methods and tools for storyline creation

Enhanced Risk knowledge

Enhanced Risk knowledge

Composite Impact dataset for risk knowledge and awareness, Tasks ➡️

  • Work package 1: Establish Hazard and Impact Modelling for the Region
  • Work package 2: Implement Co-development Method for Event-Based Climate Storylines
  • Work package 3: Consolidate Composite Dataset and Storylines into Story Maps Linked with EAHW
Operationalizing Impact Based Forecasting

Operationalizing Impact Based Forecasting

Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) Impact Based Forecasting (IBF), Tasks ➡️

  • Work package 4: Establish an Analysis and Forecast Validation Facility Utilizing Storylines Datasets and Processes for Anticipatory Action
  • Work package 5: Demonstrate the Application of Storylines as Bayesian Networks in IBF Risk and Decision Analysis
  • Work package 6: Operationalize EPS IBF with Hazard and Impact Modelling for the Region Operationalise EPS IBF with hazards and impact modelling for the region
Capacity Development

Capacity Development

In the Use of Methods and Tools for Storyline Creation, Tasks ➡️

  • Work package 7: Develop Documentation and Training Materials on Methods and Tools Used in Storyline Creation Activities
  • Work package 8: Conduct Capacity Development Activities in Co-development, Workshops and Tutorials

Composite Impact Dataset - DevOps IBF

Quick updates on the Development.
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